MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 341-350 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
01-03-26Portugal - Liga IRio Ave vs Famalicao1X2
Draw43.46%
Draw0-0
HITMedium49/100
01-03-26Portugal - Liga ICasa Pia vs Moreirense1X2
Draw43.54%
Draw1-1
HITLow41/100
01-03-26Portugal - Liga ITondela vs Santa ClaraO/U 2.5
Under 2.576.15%
Over 2.52-2
MISSMedium56/100
01-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieExcelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles1X2
Draw44.59%
Away0-1
MISSMedium52/100
01-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieUtrecht vs AZ Alkmaar1X2
Away46.60%
Home2-0
MISSMedium65/100
01-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieVolendam vs GroningenBTS
BTS Yes55.33%
BTS Yes3-2
HITLow43/100
01-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieTwente vs FeyenoordBTS
BTS Yes64.37%
BTS No2-0
MISSLow42/100
01-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieZwolle vs Ajax1X2
Away65.03%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh84/100
01-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueRangers vs CelticBTS
BTS Yes62.65%
BTS Yes2-2
HITMedium47/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie ARoma vs Juventus1X2
Home49.25%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh74/100
01-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Rio Ave vs Famalicao

1X2
PredictedDraw43.46%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium49/100
01-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Casa Pia vs Moreirense

1X2
PredictedDraw43.54%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow41/100
01-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Tondela vs Santa Clara

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.576.15%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium56/100
01-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles

1X2
PredictedDraw44.59%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium52/100
01-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

1X2
PredictedAway46.60%
ActualHome2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium65/100
01-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Volendam vs Groningen

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes55.33%
ActualBTS Yes3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow43/100
01-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Twente vs Feyenoord

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes64.37%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow42/100
01-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Zwolle vs Ajax

1X2
PredictedAway65.03%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
01-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Rangers vs Celtic

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes62.65%
ActualBTS Yes2-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie A

Roma vs Juventus

1X2
PredictedHome49.25%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
Showing 341-350 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.