MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 361-370 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueCercle Brugge vs DenderBTS
BTS Yes57.81%
BTS No0-0
MISSMedium69/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueCharleroi vs Club Brugge1X2
Away59.79%
Away1-2
HITHigh82/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWesterlo vs St. Gilloise1X2
Away64.54%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh84/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGenk vs Gent1X2
Home52.92%
Home3-0
HITHigh75/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hamburg vs RB LeipzigBTS
BTS Yes57.41%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow17/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Ein Frankfurt vs Freiburg1X2
Home53.45%
Home2-0
HITHigh76/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg1X2
Home65.23%
Home4-0
HITHigh85/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1Marseille vs LyonO/U 2.5
Over 2.565.31%
Over 2.53-2
HITHigh75/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1Metz vs Brest1X2
Away50.52%
Away0-1
HITHigh73/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1Lorient vs Auxerre1X2
Home59.32%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh86/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Cercle Brugge vs Dender

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.81%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium69/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Charleroi vs Club Brugge

1X2
PredictedAway59.79%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh82/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Westerlo vs St. Gilloise

1X2
PredictedAway64.54%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
01-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Genk vs Gent

1X2
PredictedHome52.92%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hamburg vs RB Leipzig

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.41%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow17/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Ein Frankfurt vs Freiburg

1X2
PredictedHome53.45%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
01-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

1X2
PredictedHome65.23%
ActualHome4-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1

Marseille vs Lyon

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.565.31%
ActualOver 2.53-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1

Metz vs Brest

1X2
PredictedAway50.52%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh73/100
01-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lorient vs Auxerre

1X2
PredictedHome59.32%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh86/100
Showing 361-370 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.