MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 351-360 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
01-03-26Italy - Serie ATorino vs LazioBTS
BTS No67.20%
BTS No2-0
HITLow29/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie ASassuolo vs Atalanta1X2
Away74.27%
Home2-1
MISSHigh84/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie ACremonese vs Milan1X2
Away72.59%
Away0-2
HITHigh88/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Samsunspor vs Gaziantep1X2
Home53.84%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh77/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe1X2
Away85.51%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh90/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Genclerbirligi vs Kayserispor1X2
Home61.12%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh76/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanathinaikos vs Aris1X2
Home64.49%
Home3-1
HITHigh80/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPAOK vs Asteras Tripolis1X2
Home83.31%
Home2-0
HITHigh89/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaVolos NFC vs AEK1X2
Away81.74%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh90/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanserraikos vs Olympiakos1X2
Away84.32%
Away1-2
HITHigh91/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie A

Torino vs Lazio

BTS
PredictedBTS No67.20%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow29/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo vs Atalanta

1X2
PredictedAway74.27%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh84/100
01-03-26Italy - Serie A

Cremonese vs Milan

1X2
PredictedAway72.59%
ActualAway0-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Samsunspor vs Gaziantep

1X2
PredictedHome53.84%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahçe

1X2
PredictedAway85.51%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh90/100
01-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Genclerbirligi vs Kayserispor

1X2
PredictedHome61.12%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panathinaikos vs Aris

1X2
PredictedHome64.49%
ActualHome3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis

1X2
PredictedHome83.31%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Volos NFC vs AEK

1X2
PredictedAway81.74%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh90/100
01-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panserraikos vs Olympiakos

1X2
PredictedAway84.32%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
Showing 351-360 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.