MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 331-340 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
03-03-26England - ChampionshipIpswich vs Hull1X2
Home63.45%
Home1-0
HITHigh81/100
02-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionReal Madrid vs Getafe1X2
Home85.39%
Away0-1
MISSHigh89/100
02-03-26Portugal - Liga IGil Vicente vs Benfica1X2
Away69.77%
Away1-2
HITHigh84/100
02-03-26Italy - Serie AUdinese vs Fiorentina1X2
Away45.38%
Home3-0
MISSMedium66/100
02-03-26Italy - Serie APisa vs BolognaBTS
BTS No65.98%
BTS No0-1
HITHigh76/100
02-03-26England - ChampionshipBirmingham vs MiddlesbroughBTS
BTS Yes61.91%
BTS Yes1-3
HITLow26/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGirona vs CeltaBTS
BTS Yes60.70%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow42/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBetis vs Sevilla1X2
Home53.13%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh76/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionValencia vs OsasunaO/U 2.5
Under 2.573.41%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow19/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionElche vs EspanolO/U 2.5
Under 2.557.83%
Over 2.52-2
MISSLow28/100
03-03-26England - Championship

Ipswich vs Hull

1X2
PredictedHome63.45%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
02-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Real Madrid vs Getafe

1X2
PredictedHome85.39%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh89/100
02-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Gil Vicente vs Benfica

1X2
PredictedAway69.77%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
02-03-26Italy - Serie A

Udinese vs Fiorentina

1X2
PredictedAway45.38%
ActualHome3-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
02-03-26Italy - Serie A

Pisa vs Bologna

BTS
PredictedBTS No65.98%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
02-03-26England - Championship

Birmingham vs Middlesbrough

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes61.91%
ActualBTS Yes1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow26/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Girona vs Celta

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.70%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow42/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Betis vs Sevilla

1X2
PredictedHome53.13%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Valencia vs Osasuna

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.573.41%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow19/100
01-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Elche vs Espanol

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.557.83%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow28/100
Showing 331-340 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.