MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 311-320 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
06-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueRAAL La Louviere vs AntwerpBTS
BTS No72.82%
BTS No0-0
HITMedium47/100
06-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Bayern Munich vs M'gladbach1X2
Home92.03%
Home4-1
HITHigh93/100
06-03-26France - Ligue 1Paris SG vs Monaco1X2
Home76.40%
Away1-3
MISSHigh88/100
06-03-26England - ChampionshipPreston vs OxfordO/U 2.5
Under 2.570.55%
Over 2.51-3
MISSLow16/100
05-03-26England - Premier LeagueTottenham vs Crystal PalaceBTS
BTS Yes52.50%
BTS Yes1-3
HITLow19/100
04-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionVallecano vs Oviedo1X2
Home48.15%
Home3-0
HITMedium67/100
04-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueAberdeen vs Celtic1X2
Away72.32%
Away1-2
HITHigh88/100
04-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaKifisia vs PAOK1X2
Away78.93%
Away1-4
HITHigh89/100
04-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanathinaikos vs OFI Crete1X2
Home80.82%
Home4-1
HITHigh84/100
04-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Hamburg vs Leverkusen1X2
Away54.76%
Away0-1
HITHigh74/100
06-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

RAAL La Louviere vs Antwerp

BTS
PredictedBTS No72.82%
ActualBTS No0-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
06-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Bayern Munich vs M'gladbach

1X2
PredictedHome92.03%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh93/100
06-03-26France - Ligue 1

Paris SG vs Monaco

1X2
PredictedHome76.40%
ActualAway1-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh88/100
06-03-26England - Championship

Preston vs Oxford

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.570.55%
ActualOver 2.51-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow16/100
05-03-26England - Premier League

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.50%
ActualBTS Yes1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow19/100
04-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Vallecano vs Oviedo

1X2
PredictedHome48.15%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium67/100
04-03-26Scotland - Premier League

Aberdeen vs Celtic

1X2
PredictedAway72.32%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
04-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Kifisia vs PAOK

1X2
PredictedAway78.93%
ActualAway1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
04-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panathinaikos vs OFI Crete

1X2
PredictedHome80.82%
ActualHome4-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
04-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Hamburg vs Leverkusen

1X2
PredictedAway54.76%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh74/100
Showing 311-320 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.