MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 301-310 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
07-03-26England - ChampionshipIpswich vs Leicester1X2
Home68.42%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh87/100
07-03-26England - ChampionshipDerby vs Sheffield Weds1X2
Home58.33%
Home2-1
HITHigh85/100
07-03-26England - ChampionshipCharlton vs BirminghamO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.97%
Under 2.51-0
HITLow20/100
07-03-26England - ChampionshipBristol City vs CoventryBTS
BTS Yes55.75%
BTS No0-2
MISSMedium50/100
07-03-26England - ChampionshipHull vs Millwall1X2
Away44.74%
Away1-3
HITMedium54/100
07-03-26England - ChampionshipBlackburn vs Portsmouth1X2
Home46.69%
Draw1-1
MISSMedium69/100
06-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionCelta vs Real Madrid1X2
Away68.44%
Away1-2
HITHigh83/100
06-03-26Portugal - Liga IFamalicao vs Arouca1X2
Home57.50%
Home1-0
HITHigh80/100
06-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieHeracles vs Utrecht1X2
Away68.72%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh87/100
06-03-26Italy - Serie ANapoli vs Torino1X2
Home66.00%
Home2-1
HITHigh85/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Ipswich vs Leicester

1X2
PredictedHome68.42%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Derby vs Sheffield Weds

1X2
PredictedHome58.33%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Charlton vs Birmingham

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.566.97%
ActualUnder 2.51-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow20/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Bristol City vs Coventry

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes55.75%
ActualBTS No0-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium50/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Hull vs Millwall

1X2
PredictedAway44.74%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
07-03-26England - Championship

Blackburn vs Portsmouth

1X2
PredictedHome46.69%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium69/100
06-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Celta vs Real Madrid

1X2
PredictedAway68.44%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
06-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Famalicao vs Arouca

1X2
PredictedHome57.50%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh80/100
06-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Heracles vs Utrecht

1X2
PredictedAway68.72%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
06-03-26Italy - Serie A

Napoli vs Torino

1X2
PredictedHome66.00%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
Showing 301-310 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.