MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 281-290 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
07-03-26Italy - Serie AAtalanta vs Udinese1X2
Home73.66%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh85/100
07-03-26Italy - Serie ACagliari vs Como1X2
Away58.86%
Away1-2
HITHigh81/100
07-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray1X2
Away58.89%
Away0-1
HITHigh79/100
07-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Buyuksehyr vs Goztep1X2
Home55.63%
Home2-1
HITHigh78/100
07-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAEK vs Larisa1X2
Home81.35%
Home1-0
HITHigh86/100
07-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAris vs AtromitosO/U 2.5
Under 2.562.53%
Under 2.50-0
HITMedium54/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt. Gilloise vs Genk1X2
Home68.75%
Home2-1
HITHigh84/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueDender vs CharleroiO/U 2.5
Under 2.563.94%
Over 2.52-2
MISSMedium56/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueOud-Heverlee Leuven vs WesterloBTS
BTS Yes59.63%
BTS No0-1
MISSMedium47/100
07-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1FC Koln vs Dortmund1X2
Away62.23%
Away1-2
HITHigh83/100
07-03-26Italy - Serie A

Atalanta vs Udinese

1X2
PredictedHome73.66%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh85/100
07-03-26Italy - Serie A

Cagliari vs Como

1X2
PredictedAway58.86%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
07-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Beşiktaş vs Galatasaray

1X2
PredictedAway58.89%
ActualAway0-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh79/100
07-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Buyuksehyr vs Goztep

1X2
PredictedHome55.63%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
07-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

AEK vs Larisa

1X2
PredictedHome81.35%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh86/100
07-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Aris vs Atromitos

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.562.53%
ActualUnder 2.50-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium54/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St. Gilloise vs Genk

1X2
PredictedHome68.75%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Dender vs Charleroi

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.563.94%
ActualOver 2.52-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium56/100
07-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Westerlo

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes59.63%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium47/100
07-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

FC Koln vs Dortmund

1X2
PredictedAway62.23%
ActualAway1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
Showing 281-290 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.