MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 261-270 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
08-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1St Pauli vs Ein Frankfurt1X2
Away44.21%
Draw0-0
MISSMedium55/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1Lyon vs Paris FC1X2
Home62.71%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh81/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1Nice vs Rennes1X2
Home44.58%
Away0-4
MISSMedium66/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1Lille vs Lorient1X2
Home66.67%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh81/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1Brest vs Le Havre1X2
Home59.52%
Home2-0
HITHigh76/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1Lens vs Metz1X2
Home84.34%
Home3-0
HITHigh91/100
08-03-26England - ChampionshipQPR vs Middlesbrough1X2
Away60.24%
Away0-4
HITHigh83/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAth Bilbao vs BarcelonaO/U 2.5
Over 2.568.35%
Under 2.50-1
MISSHigh82/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionAth Madrid vs Sociedad1X2
Home65.05%
Home3-2
HITHigh81/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionLevante vs Girona1X2
Away52.11%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh73/100
08-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

St Pauli vs Ein Frankfurt

1X2
PredictedAway44.21%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium55/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lyon vs Paris FC

1X2
PredictedHome62.71%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1

Nice vs Rennes

1X2
PredictedHome44.58%
ActualAway0-4
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium66/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lille vs Lorient

1X2
PredictedHome66.67%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1

Brest vs Le Havre

1X2
PredictedHome59.52%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh76/100
08-03-26France - Ligue 1

Lens vs Metz

1X2
PredictedHome84.34%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh91/100
08-03-26England - Championship

QPR vs Middlesbrough

1X2
PredictedAway60.24%
ActualAway0-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh83/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Ath Bilbao vs Barcelona

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.568.35%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Ath Madrid vs Sociedad

1X2
PredictedHome65.05%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh81/100
07-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Levante vs Girona

1X2
PredictedAway52.11%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
Showing 261-270 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.