MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 241-250 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
08-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieFor Sittard vs Telstar1X2
Draw44.41%
Away1-4
MISSMedium51/100
08-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieSparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle1X2
Home48.41%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh74/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie AMilan vs Inter1X2
Away58.69%
Home1-0
MISSHigh79/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie AGenoa vs Roma1X2
Away46.54%
Home2-1
MISSMedium64/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie AFiorentina vs Parma1X2
Home57.64%
Draw0-0
MISSHigh79/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie ABologna vs Verona1X2
Home65.27%
Away1-2
MISSHigh83/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie ALecce vs CremoneseO/U 2.5
Under 2.577.40%
Over 2.52-1
MISSMedium58/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor1X2
Home76.39%
Home3-2
HITHigh88/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Konyaspor vs KasimpasaO/U 2.5
Under 2.565.65%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium46/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Rizespor vs Antalyaspor1X2
Home52.94%
Home1-0
HITHigh78/100
08-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

For Sittard vs Telstar

1X2
PredictedDraw44.41%
ActualAway1-4
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium51/100
08-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle

1X2
PredictedHome48.41%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie A

Milan vs Inter

1X2
PredictedAway58.69%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie A

Genoa vs Roma

1X2
PredictedAway46.54%
ActualHome2-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium64/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina vs Parma

1X2
PredictedHome57.64%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie A

Bologna vs Verona

1X2
PredictedHome65.27%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh83/100
08-03-26Italy - Serie A

Lecce vs Cremonese

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.577.40%
ActualOver 2.52-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium58/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Fenerbahçe vs Samsunspor

1X2
PredictedHome76.39%
ActualHome3-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh88/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Konyaspor vs Kasimpasa

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.565.65%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium46/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Rizespor vs Antalyaspor

1X2
PredictedHome52.94%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh78/100
Showing 241-250 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.