MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 221-230 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
10-03-26England - ChampionshipPortsmouth vs Swansea1X2
Home48.55%
Away1-2
MISSHigh73/100
10-03-26England - ChampionshipMillwall vs Derby1X2
Home46.51%
Home1-0
HITMedium68/100
10-03-26England - ChampionshipLeicester vs Bristol City1X2
Home45.33%
Home2-0
HITMedium65/100
09-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionEspanol vs Oviedo1X2
Home47.39%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh71/100
09-03-26Portugal - Liga ITondela vs Rio AveO/U 2.5
Under 2.567.41%
Under 2.50-1
HITMedium47/100
09-03-26Italy - Serie ALazio vs Sassuolo1X2
Home50.11%
Home2-1
HITHigh74/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor1X2
Away64.06%
Away1-3
HITHigh85/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Alanyaspor vs Genclerbirligi1X2
Home47.96%
Draw0-0
MISSMedium67/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Eyupspor vs KocaelisporO/U 2.5
Under 2.565.95%
Under 2.50-1
HITLow10/100
09-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaPanetolikos vs KifisiaBTS
BTS Yes50.03%
BTS Yes2-1
HITLow27/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Portsmouth vs Swansea

1X2
PredictedHome48.55%
ActualAway1-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh73/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Millwall vs Derby

1X2
PredictedHome46.51%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium68/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Leicester vs Bristol City

1X2
PredictedHome45.33%
ActualHome2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium65/100
09-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Espanol vs Oviedo

1X2
PredictedHome47.39%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh71/100
09-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Tondela vs Rio Ave

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.567.41%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium47/100
09-03-26Italy - Serie A

Lazio vs Sassuolo

1X2
PredictedHome50.11%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh74/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Kayserispor vs Trabzonspor

1X2
PredictedAway64.06%
ActualAway1-3
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh85/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Alanyaspor vs Genclerbirligi

1X2
PredictedHome47.96%
ActualDraw0-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium67/100
09-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.565.95%
ActualUnder 2.50-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow10/100
09-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Panetolikos vs Kifisia

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes50.03%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow27/100
Showing 221-230 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.