MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 211-220 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
13-03-26England - ChampionshipWrexham vs SwanseaBTS
BTS Yes60.76%
BTS No2-0
MISSHigh72/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipCoventry vs Preston1X2
Home67.63%
Home3-0
HITHigh84/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipWest Brom vs SouthamptonBTS
BTS Yes57.46%
BTS Yes1-1
HITMedium51/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipOxford vs Blackburn1X2
Draw43.39%
Home1-0
MISSMedium53/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipNorwich vs Sheffield UnitedBTS
BTS Yes57.44%
BTS Yes2-1
HITLow21/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipMiddlesbrough vs Charlton1X2
Home67.00%
Away0-1
MISSHigh87/100
11-03-26England - ChampionshipBirmingham vs QPR1X2
Home50.77%
Home1-0
HITHigh77/100
10-03-26England - ChampionshipStoke vs Ipswich1X2
Away54.33%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh74/100
10-03-26England - ChampionshipWrexham vs HullBTS
BTS Yes61.50%
BTS Yes1-2
HITLow23/100
10-03-26England - ChampionshipSheffield Weds vs Watford1X2
Away59.74%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh82/100
13-03-26England - Championship

Wrexham vs Swansea

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.76%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh72/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Coventry vs Preston

1X2
PredictedHome67.63%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh84/100
11-03-26England - Championship

West Brom vs Southampton

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.46%
ActualBTS Yes1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium51/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Oxford vs Blackburn

1X2
PredictedDraw43.39%
ActualHome1-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium53/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Norwich vs Sheffield United

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes57.44%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow21/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Middlesbrough vs Charlton

1X2
PredictedHome67.00%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
11-03-26England - Championship

Birmingham vs QPR

1X2
PredictedHome50.77%
ActualHome1-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh77/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Stoke vs Ipswich

1X2
PredictedAway54.33%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh74/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Wrexham vs Hull

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes61.50%
ActualBTS Yes1-2
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow23/100
10-03-26England - Championship

Sheffield Weds vs Watford

1X2
PredictedAway59.74%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh82/100
Showing 211-220 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.