MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 231-240 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionValencia vs AlavesBTS
BTS No63.25%
BTS Yes3-2
MISSMedium67/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSevilla vs VallecanoO/U 2.5
Under 2.569.81%
Under 2.51-1
HITMedium51/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionGetafe vs BetisBTS
BTS No61.62%
BTS No2-0
HITMedium55/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionVillarreal vs Elche1X2
Home80.36%
Home2-1
HITHigh87/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga ISanta Clara vs GuimaraesO/U 2.5
Under 2.576.11%
Under 2.52-0
HITMedium49/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga IBenfica vs Porto1X2
Home52.03%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh77/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga IEstrela vs Gil Vicente1X2
Away45.65%
Draw2-2
MISSMedium63/100
08-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieNijmegen vs Volendam1X2
Home77.70%
Home3-0
HITHigh89/100
08-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieNAC Breda vs Feyenoord1X2
Away70.96%
Draw3-3
MISSHigh87/100
08-03-26Netherlands - EredivisieGo Ahead Eagles vs TwenteBTS
BTS Yes60.98%
BTS Yes1-4
HITHigh75/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Valencia vs Alaves

BTS
PredictedBTS No63.25%
ActualBTS Yes3-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium67/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Sevilla vs Vallecano

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.569.81%
ActualUnder 2.51-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium51/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Getafe vs Betis

BTS
PredictedBTS No61.62%
ActualBTS No2-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium55/100
08-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera Division

Villarreal vs Elche

1X2
PredictedHome80.36%
ActualHome2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh87/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Santa Clara vs Guimaraes

O/U 2.5
PredictedUnder 2.576.11%
ActualUnder 2.52-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium49/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Benfica vs Porto

1X2
PredictedHome52.03%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh77/100
08-03-26Portugal - Liga I

Estrela vs Gil Vicente

1X2
PredictedAway45.65%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceMedium63/100
08-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Nijmegen vs Volendam

1X2
PredictedHome77.70%
ActualHome3-0
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh89/100
08-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

NAC Breda vs Feyenoord

1X2
PredictedAway70.96%
ActualDraw3-3
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh87/100
08-03-26Netherlands - Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Twente

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes60.98%
ActualBTS Yes1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceHigh75/100
Showing 231-240 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.