MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Historical Validation

Stored backtest examples and summary metrics keep the live view grounded in recorded model performance.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team PoolUnavailableSelect a league first
Teams AvailableUnavailableSelect a league first
Coverage ThroughUnavailableSelect a league first
Data RefreshedUnavailableSelect a league first

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2425Lower is better
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate49.55%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate57.71%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.81%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.36%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6087Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2426Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2470Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate52.63%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches551Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate56.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability63.06%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success58.62%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 251-260 of 551 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1Gaziantep vs Karagumruk1X2
Home47.73%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh72/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaOlympiakos vs PAOKO/U 2.5
Over 2.567.59%
Under 2.50-0
MISSHigh76/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaLevadeiakos vs PanathinaikosBTS
BTS Yes52.87%
BTS Yes1-4
HITLow41/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaVolos NFC vs OFI Crete1X2
Draw43.43%
Draw1-1
HITMedium52/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki KatigoriaAsteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos1X2
Home58.78%
Away0-1
MISSHigh79/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueSt Truiden vs Cercle BruggeBTS
BTS Yes53.81%
BTS Yes2-1
HITMedium59/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueWaregem vs StandardBTS
BTS Yes56.41%
BTS No0-1
MISSLow21/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueGent vs MechelenBTS
BTS Yes56.52%
BTS Yes3-1
HITMedium64/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler LeagueClub Brugge vs Anderlecht1X2
Home65.23%
Draw2-2
MISSHigh81/100
08-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen1X2
Draw39.58%
Away1-4
MISSLow21/100
08-03-26Turkey - Futbol Ligi 1

Gaziantep vs Karagumruk

1X2
PredictedHome47.73%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh72/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Olympiakos vs PAOK

O/U 2.5
PredictedOver 2.567.59%
ActualUnder 2.50-0
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh76/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Levadeiakos vs Panathinaikos

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes52.87%
ActualBTS Yes1-4
ResultHIT
ConfidenceLow41/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Volos NFC vs OFI Crete

1X2
PredictedDraw43.43%
ActualDraw1-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium52/100
08-03-26Greece - Ethniki Katigoria

Asteras Tripolis vs Panserraikos

1X2
PredictedHome58.78%
ActualAway0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh79/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

St Truiden vs Cercle Brugge

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes53.81%
ActualBTS Yes2-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium59/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Waregem vs Standard

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes56.41%
ActualBTS No0-1
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow21/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Gent vs Mechelen

BTS
PredictedBTS Yes56.52%
ActualBTS Yes3-1
ResultHIT
ConfidenceMedium64/100
08-03-26Belgium - Jupiler League

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht

1X2
PredictedHome65.23%
ActualDraw2-2
ResultMISS
ConfidenceHigh81/100
08-03-26Germany - Bundesliga 1

Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen

1X2
PredictedDraw39.58%
ActualAway1-4
ResultMISS
ConfidenceLow21/100
Showing 251-260 of 551 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.