MatchProb Analytics

MatchProb

Football match probabilities, team-form indicators, and scoring trend context in one structured dashboard.

Structured around probability, scoring conditions, and prior recorded results.

Pre-match probabilities Form and scoring context Backtested validation

Statistical Match Probabilities

Structured Home/Draw/Away, goal, and scoring-likelihood outputs with transparent presentation.

Team Form & Scoring Trends

Recent performance context is displayed alongside league goal environment indicators.

Clear Data-Driven Insights

A practical pre-match analytics workflow built for clarity and fast interpretation.

MatchProb Predictor

Select a competition and team pairing to generate a structured pre-match probability view with scoring context and recent performance cues.

Active Team Pool2025-2026

Historical performance

Results

Historical results across Top Pick and the main match markets.

Top Pick highlights the model's clearest supported angle in each historical example.

Use these results as a guide to how the model has performed across prior recorded forecasts. Probability Accuracy shows how closely forecast probabilities matched outcomes. Lower is better.

Top Pick

Top Pick Hit Rate54.26%Strongest supported match angle
Top Pick Avg Probability62.87%Average selected pick probability
Top Pick Probability Accuracy0.2421Lower is better
Confidence Success56.67%High-confidence Top Picks

Core Markets

1X2 Hit Rate46.25%Match result hit rate
O/U 2.5 Hit Rate56.85%Over/under market hit rate
BTS Market Hit Rate56.59%Both-teams-to-score market hit rate
Over 2.5 Actual Rate51.42%Share of matches finishing over 2.5

Accuracy

1X2 Probability Accuracy0.6186Lower is better
Over 2.5 Probability Accuracy0.2452Lower is better
BTS Probability Accuracy0.2455Lower is better
BTS Actual Rate55.30%Share of matches with both teams scoring

Results Filters

Top Pick metrics for the current filtered historical examples.

Matches387Historical examples in scope
Top Pick Hit Rate54.26%Selected Top Pick rows
Top Pick Avg Probability62.87%Average selected pick probability
Confidence Success56.67%High-confidence Top Picks

Historical Examples

Recent Backtested Examples

Historical examples of the model's strongest selected angle for each match.

Showing 11-20 of 387 examples.

DateCompetitionMatchMarketPredictedActualResultConfidence
15-03-26Scotland - Premier LeagueSt Mirren vs Rangers1X2
Away74.18%
Away0-1
HITHigh89/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionSociedad vs OsasunaBTS
BTS No60.86%
BTS Yes3-1
MISSMedium63/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBetis vs Celta1X2
Home48.28%
Draw1-1
MISSHigh76/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionBarcelona vs Sevilla1X2
Home87.87%
Home5-2
HITHigh91/100
15-03-26Spain - La Liga Primera DivisionMallorca vs EspanolO/U 2.5
Under 2.566.41%
Over 2.52-1
MISSLow22/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ALazio vs MilanBTS
BTS Yes58.36%
BTS No1-0
MISSHigh73/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AComo vs Roma1X2
Home45.33%
Home2-1
HITMedium66/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie ASassuolo vs Bologna1X2
Away49.03%
Away0-1
HITHigh72/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie APisa vs CagliariO/U 2.5
Under 2.580.92%
Over 2.53-1
MISSMedium64/100
15-03-26Italy - Serie AVerona vs Genoa1X2
Away46.02%
Away0-2
HITMedium64/100
Showing 11-20 of 387 examples
10 rows per page

Interpretation Guidance

Match probabilities describe estimated likelihood ranges, not fixed outcomes. Treat forecasts as context and combine them with your own match analysis.

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